Alumis Inc Stock Analysis

ALMS Stock   26.80  1.17  4.56%   
At this time, Alumis' Net Debt To EBITDA is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Debt To Assets is likely to gain to 0.13 in 2026, despite the fact that Net Debt is likely to grow to (118.7 M). Alumis' financial risk is the risk to Alumis stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.
 
Debt Ratio  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
0.0811
Current Value
0.13
Quarterly Volatility
0.08728085
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Alumis' Total Stockholder Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Other Stockholder Equity is likely to gain to about 1.1 B in 2026, whereas Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 197.5 M in 2026. . At this time, Alumis' Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is likely to gain to 0.81 in 2026, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0).
Alumis Inc is undervalued with Real Value of 29.75 and Target Price of 37.25. The main objective of Alumis stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alumis Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alumis' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Alumis stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Alumis is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Alumis Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alumis Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Alumis Stock Analysis Notes

About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.15. Alumis Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. For more info on Alumis Inc please contact Martin Babler at 650 231 6625 or go to https://www.alumis.com.

Alumis Inc Investment Alerts

Alumis Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Alumis Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (294.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.12 M.
Alumis generates negative cash flow from operations
Alumis Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Alumis Highlights Phase III Psoriasis Wins, NDA Timing, and Lupus Catalyst at Guggenheim Summit

Alumis Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alumis' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-05-14
2025-03-31-1.4233-1.82-0.396727 
2025-03-19
2024-12-31-1.32-1.74-0.4231 
2024-08-13
2024-06-30-1.67-1.03870.631337 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alumis Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Alumis' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Alumis' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Alumis' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Alumis' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Alumis Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.2 B.

Alumis Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.78)(0.82)
Return On Capital Employed(0.93)(0.98)
Return On Assets(0.78)(0.82)
Return On Equity(1.30)(1.24)

Management Efficiency

Alumis Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.6146) % which means that it has lost $0.6146 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.6688) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Alumis' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alumis manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.82 in 2026. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.98 in 2026. At this time, Alumis' Total Current Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Debt To Assets is likely to gain to 0.13 in 2026, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 197.5 M in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.26  8.67 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 8.26  8.67 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(0.25)(0.27)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.77  0.81 
Enterprise Value Multiple(0.25)(0.27)
Price Fair Value 0.77  0.81 
Enterprise Value608.5 M638.9 M
Alumis Inc has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Operating Margin
(53.72)
Return On Assets
(0.61)
Return On Equity
(0.67)

Technical Drivers

As of the 13th of February 2026, Alumis shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.211, downside deviation of 4.17, and Mean Deviation of 6.04. Alumis Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Alumis Inc variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Alumis Inc is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 26.8 per share. Given that Alumis has jensen alpha of 3.12, we suggest you to validate Alumis Inc's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Alumis Inc Price Movement Analysis

Illegal number of arguments. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Weighted Moving Average calculates a weight for each value in Alumis price series with the more recent values given greater weights.

Alumis Inc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alumis insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alumis' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alumis insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Alumis Outstanding Bonds

Alumis issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alumis Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alumis bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alumis Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Alumis Predictive Daily Indicators

Alumis intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alumis stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alumis Corporate Filings

F5
11th of February 2026
The annual filing required by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) from company insiders or beneficial owners
ViewVerify
30th of January 2026
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
28th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
13th of January 2026
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
ViewVerify
F4
12th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
9th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8th of January 2026
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
6th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Alumis Forecast Models

Alumis' time-series forecasting models are one of many Alumis' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alumis' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Alumis Bond Ratings

Alumis Inc financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Alumis have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Alumis' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
3
FrailView
Beneish M Score
(6.73)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Alumis Total Assets Over Time

Alumis Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Alumis uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Alumis Debt Ratio

    
  13.0   
It appears most of the Alumis' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Alumis' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Alumis, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Alumis Corporate Bonds Issued

Alumis Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

23.86 Million

At this time, Alumis' Short and Long Term Debt Total is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

About Alumis Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alumis prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alumis shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alumis. By using and applying Alumis Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alumis entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year

Current Alumis Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alumis analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alumis analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
37.25Strong Buy6Odds
Alumis Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alumis analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alumis stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alumis Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alumis conference calls.
Alumis Analyst Advice Details

Alumis Stock Analysis Indicators

Alumis Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alumis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alumis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alumis stock analysis, traders can identify Alumis position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow47.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity260.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-113.8 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net33.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments288.3 M
Cash169.5 M
Accounts Payable9.6 M
Net Debt-138.8 M
50 Day M A17.2581
Total Current Liabilities50.9 M
Other Operating Expenses300.8 M
Non Current Assets Total34.8 M
Non Currrent Assets Other1.1 M
Stock Based Compensation19.5 M

Additional Tools for Alumis Stock Analysis

When running Alumis' price analysis, check to measure Alumis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alumis is operating at the current time. Most of Alumis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alumis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alumis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alumis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.